His book If Russia Wins: A Scenario, speculates that the Kremlin could make a move into Estonia as soon as 2028 because there are circles in Moscow who do not believe that every NATO member would back Article 5, which stipulates that an attack on one alliance member is an attack on all.

Russia has called out Western nations and NATO for escalating tensions in Ukraine. Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on October 21, Lavrov claimed that Western nations are trying to “eradicate all things Russian” in Ukraine,

Intrusions into NATO’s airspace blamed on Russia have reached an unprecedented scale, raising questions about whether the Kremlin is trying to test the alliance’s willingness to respond to a direct attack or divert its attention and resources from the war in Ukraine.

A book by German political analyst Carlo Masala, "If Russia Wins," outlines how Moscow might make a grab for Estonia in 2028.

A new Danish intelligence assessment blames Russia for employing various 'gray zone' tactics against its forces.

NATO faces increased Russian testing through gray-zone tactics as Trump warns the Ukraine war could lead to World War III with Moscow.

Recent Russian drone violations into NATO airspace have sparked a new sense of urgency for the alliance to acquire low-cost defenses.

Nato is discussing new rules that could make it easier to shoot down Russian fighter jets. The talks are focused on drawing up a single set of guidelines for engaging enemy aircraft. Defence chiefs want Russian jets carrying ground-attack missiles over allied airspace to be possible targets.

His goals are to scare, exhaust and divide Europeans, causing them to question their support for Ukraine and undermine its efforts to repel Russia’s invasion. Ultimately, he also wants to make the United States look weak and fragment the NATO alliance.

NATO allies are considering deploying armed drones along the Russian border — and loosening restrictions on when pilots can shoot down enemy aircraft, according to a report.

NATO's chief said on Monday that there is a "lone and broken Russian submarine limping home from patrol" in the Mediterranean Sea.

At every turn, the coalition used channels of communication to the Kremlin for risk management. Constant and discreet channels between seasoned US national security professionals and their Russian counterparts were always there to ensure that any Nato step to elevate support for Ukraine would be backed up by conflict diplomacy.