Tariffs, inflation
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Tariffs contributed modestly to the rise of inflation last month, analysts told ABC News, citing the price hikes in product categories made up primarily of imports. But, they added, overall price increases owed largely to a rise in housing and food products with little connection to tariffs.
Higher tariffs put in place by the Trump White House this year have started to increase inflation, and these effects are likely to increase in the coming months, New York Fed President John Williams said Wednesday.
A changing pricing environment and renewed social inflation worries will be among the focal points for US property and casualty insurers when they release second quarter results.
New data showing price increases last month could foreshadow even higher costs if the president imposes steep tariffs on Aug. 1.
Recent data from the Labor Department has shown that the price of foreign exports to the U.S. — before tariffs — has held steady over the last few months. That means U.S. importers are absorbing most of the tariff burden.
Indonesia also has agreed to purchase billions in U.S. energy, agriculture products and airplanes, Trump said July 15 in a social media post.
US wholesale inflation was muted in June, signaling that price pressures might not be building for producers and manufacturers.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was unexpectedly hot, showing a 0.3% increase month-over-month and a 2.7% rise year-over-year. In response, markets fell from recent highs. This is likely due to investors reassessing the likelihood of near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports a 0.3% increase in the consumer price index last month, raising the annual inflation rate to 2.7%.